Trump & Disruption! Issachar is about 75% invested in growth stocks, focusing on companies with accelerating earnings and sales. Heading into the election, I viewed Gold as a safe-haven investment, but post-election, capital quickly shifted from physical Gold to digital Gold, namely Bitcoin. Trump has supported Bitcoin, but I remain cautious about investing in assets that lack earnings and sales. While crypto may evolve into a mainstream asset class, I’m skeptical of its long-term viability. I sold some tech and healthcare stocks after they violated my 5% sell rule and realized some gains near 15%. I plan to increase my holdings in utility stocks, as electricity demand is expected to rise with the expansion of AI data centers. (There’s no guarantee that any investment will meet its objectives or avoid losses.)
Market Update: The S&P 500 found support at its 21-day moving average, while the NASDAQ 100 broke through on above-average volume. Tech, healthcare, and pharmaceutical stocks surged before the election but are now retreating amid market uncertainty. A potential confirmation of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as Health and Human Services Secretary could shake up entrenched systems, especially given his opposition to the processed food and pharmaceutical industries, which spend billions lobbying Congress to maintain the status quo. Trump may not be a threat to democracy, but he is a threat to the “bureaucracy,” and the market is trying to reposition itself.
Since the Fed’s 50-basis-point rate cut on 9/24/24, the 2-year Treasury yield has risen nearly 25%, signaling that more inflation could be on the way. The bond market remains skeptical of the Fed’s 2% inflation target, suggesting that inflationary pressures are not yet controlled. The Fed appears to have shifted its focus from combating inflation to addressing unemployment, though it risks failing on both fronts.
Our national debt has now surpassed $36 trillion, and interest payments alone are approaching $1 trillion on a $7 trillion budget—unsustainable by most measures. The Fed’s strategy of expanding its balance sheet during and after each crisis since 2008 has been to print more money, which will likely continue. As markets allow the Fed to expand the money supply, the U.S. will avoid defaulting on bond obligations. However, this also erodes the dollar’s purchasing power, driving inflation. A recession or depression would be needed to bring inflation down, but it could produce life-changing losses.
Bottom Line: Issachar remains actively invested and eager to increase exposure to utility stocks, energy, and REITs as these sectors continue to be accumulated by forward-looking institutional investors. Utility companies are well-positioned, as AI data centers secure energy contracts to meet growing demand. REITs could benefit from raising rents to stay ahead of inflationary pressures. If a “drill, baby, drill” scenario emerges, energy service companies may trend higher. I’ll likely buy Gold if long-term yields and the dollar trend downward. The decline in junk bonds suggests that investors are becoming more risk-averse. While Trump’s policies may ultimately benefit the U.S., we may have to navigate a period of growing pains before a new birth. This is a new bull market powered by AI, and I am trying to invest where the market is headed, not where it’s been. May God bless you and your family!
A person cannot receive even one thing unless given to him from heaven. John 3:27
Investors should carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses of the Issachar Fund. This and other important information about the Fund are contained in the Prospectus, obtained by calling 1-866-787-8355 or visiting IssacharFund.com. The Prospectus should be read carefully before investing. The Issachar Fund is distributed by Northern Lights Distributors, LLC., a member of FINRA/SIPC. Horizon Capital Management Inc. (HCM) is not affiliated with Northern Lights Distributors, LLC.
Important Risk Information: Mutual Funds involve risks, including the possible loss of principal. An investment in the Fund may not be appropriate for all investors. The Fund may hold cash positions when the Adviser feels that the market is not producing returns greater than the short-term cash investments in which the Fund may invest. There is a risk that the sections of the market in which the Fund invests will begin to rise or fall rapidly, and the Fund will not be able to sell stocks quickly enough to avoid losses or reinvest its cash positions into areas of the advancing market quickly enough to capture the initial returns of changing market conditions. The Adviser’s judgment about the attractiveness, value, and potential appreciation of particular asset classes and securities in which the Fund invests may prove incorrect and may not produce the desired results. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Ratings are only one form of Fund performance and should not be used as the sole consideration in an investment decision. Opinions expressed are subject to change, not guaranteed, and should not be considered investment advice. There is no assurance these opinions or forecasts will come to pass, and past performance is no assurance of future results. For more information regarding the Fund, including current performance, please visit IssacharFund.com. NLD Compliance Code: 20241118-4033739
Dexter Lyons, Portfolio Manager
Issachar Fund (LIONX & LIOTX)
337-983-0676 [email protected]
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