Gold is Shining Bright! Issachar Update: Issachar is significantly invested in growth stocks and holds 23% in a physical gold ETF, which I firmly believe in. Despite the inflation rate dropping from 9% to 3%, prices are still rising. As the Fed prints more “free money” to fund Treasury debt from a spendthrift Congress, inflation increases, eroding the dollar’s purchasing power. With more dollars circulating, each one loses value. This increased money supply leads to greater competition for limited commodities, driving up prices for gold and real estate investment trusts (REITs). Major central banks, particularly the BRIC nations—Brazil, Russia, India, and China—are accumulating physical gold, as it has maintained its purchasing power for over 2,000 years. Gold also acts as a safeguard against geopolitical risks and conflicts. We are also investing in REITs since they adjust rents in line with inflation.
Furthermore, we are adding growth stocks, as they are expanding at a pace that outstrips inflation’s impact on the dollar’s value. With gold nearing an all-time high of $2,750 per ounce, it has significant upside potential. The deficit spending is the “elephant in the room” that no one wants to confront, as it benefits many in power who prefer to maintain spending to secure votes. (Please note, there’s no guarantee that any investment will meet its objectives or avoid losses.)
Market Update: This week’s earnings reports from major tech companies could bolster the bull market trend, but the upcoming election on November 5th could be a game changer. The market tends to be forward-looking, and price and volume charts will indicate whether we should hedge, sell, or short before the election. The stock market is close to an all-time high, with positive advance-decline breath, suggesting mild risk. However, the 20-year Treasury bond market (TLT) has dropped over 40% since its peak in August 2020. The Fed recently cut short-term rates by 50 basis points on 9/18/24 to stimulate the economy, but long-term rates peaked two days prior, and bonds have since fallen about 9%. Long-term bond prices are declining due to our $35.8 trillion national debt and a $2 trillion current deficit, which remains unaddressed. The bond market is demanding higher, riskier Treasury rates, likely leading to increased inflation.
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) and Retail (XRT) stocks show that consumers remain resilient and continue spending, indicating no signs of an imminent recession. The dollar is strengthening against major currencies due to our relatively higher interest rates. AI remains a dominant theme, and we could be just beginning a super-cycle of growth and prosperity. Major indexes are rising above their averages, and the Fed will likely print more money to address upcoming crises. Let’s continue to ride the bullish wave of capitalism until the charts suggest otherwise.
Bottom Line: Issachar is invested in growth stocks and gold as the AI-driven bull market continues to gain momentum. Fixed-supply assets like gold and real estate will likely perform well in this inflationary environment driven by more irresponsible spending. Gold has historically served as a hedge against inflation, preserving its purchasing power for centuries. The more money the Fed creates, the more capital competes for a limited number of stocks, leading to rising stock prices. Betting odds in Las Vegas favor Trump, although they may be hedging their bets. Geaux vote! May God’s love, grace, peace, and wisdom be with you always!
Love is patient, love is kind. It does not envy, it does not boast, it is not proud. 5 It does not dishonor others, it is not self-seeking, it is not easily angered, it keeps no record of wrongs. 6 Love does not delight in evil but rejoices with the truth. 7 It always protects, always trusts, always hopes, always perseveres. 1 Corinthians 13:4-7
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Dexter Lyons, Portfolio Manager
Issachar Fund (LIONX & LIOTX)
337-983-0676 [email protected]
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